Casino Megabucks

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On 21 March 2003, the largest-ever slots prize was awarded in Las Vegas when a 25-year-old man who prefers to remain anonymous hit a $39,710,826.36 Megabucks jackpot at the Excalibur casino.

  1. Megabucks is a standard $1 slot machine. The caveat is that a player must bet the maximum ($3) on a spin to be eligible to win the progressive jackpot. Once the maximum bet is made and the reels are spun, landing “ MEGABUCKS ” symbols along the payline on each of the reels is what it takes to win the hefty prize.
  2. Megabucks Closes in on Record Jackpot from the Las Vegas Sun, Dec. Nevada Gaming Control Board; Slots Payout percentage, from Cassaon Casino. History of Megabucks Jackpots, from a2zlasvegas.com. Pennies Ready to Pop, from the Aug. 9, 2006 Las Vegas Sun. Megabucks, from slot-machine-resource.com. Written by: Michael Shackleford.
  3. Megabucks is part of the company’s MegaJackpot slot system that connects about 750 machines in 136 Nevada casinos to one primary jackpot that builds from the base jackpot amount. International Game Technology owns the Megabucks machines and the casino gets a cut of the money that each machine wins from the players.
  • Appendices
  • Slots Analysis
  • Miscellaneous

Introduction

This page investigates the odds of the progressive jackpot slot machine, Megabucks, including the average jackpot and breakeven point.

For now, let's ignore the fact that a jackpot is paid by installments over 25 years and that the jackpot would be subject to income tax.

I don't know exactly how Megabucks is programmed. However, there is some information that is public knowledge. If we fit the pieces together, we can make a pretty good estimate of the point at which the return is 100%, known as the 'breakeven point.' Here is what we do know:

  • According to John Robison, the probability of hitting the jackpot is 1 in 49,836,032. This figure comes from an article titled Megabucks closes in on record jackpot from the Las Vegas Sun, Dec. 24, 1999. That probability comes to (1/368)3, implying each reel has a 1 in 368 chance of stopping on the jackpot symbol.
  • The Nevada Gaming Control Board indicates that the profit of Megabucks on both a percentage and dollar basis. The following is a summary for 1994 to 2009.

    Megabucks Win — 1994 to 2009

    YearWin ($)Win (%)
    200953,352,00010.43%
    200883,981,00011.85%
    200788,858,00012.72%
    2006100,923,00012.39%
    2005100,923,00012.39%
    200467,326,00010.54%
    200383,069,00010.41%
    200276,842,00011.98%
    200169,821,00011.50%
    200069,103,0009.75%
    199974,921,00012.28%
    1998134,943,00012.25%
    199766,166,00012.18%
    199657,619,00010.03%
    199565,223,00010.48%
    199446,760,0009.44%
    total1,239,830,00011.39%

    The key piece of information from this table is that the overall profit of the game has been 11.39%. In other words, 88.61% is returned to the players.

  • According to defunct source, starting in September 2005, Megabucks was reset to a jackpot of $10 million. Before that, the reset value was $7 million.
  • According to a2zlasvegas.com, there have been 11 jackpots hit between September 2005 and the date of the last jackpot (Feb. 21, 2010). That same website shows a jackpot was hit on September 15, 2005. The number of days between then and the time of this writing is 1,619 days. We also see from that website that the total of the last 11 jackpots was $167,367,727. Of that, $110,000,000 was from the reset amounts and $57,367,727 was from the progressive contribution.
We can estimate the number of times Megabucks was played during the 1619 day period by dividing the number of jackpots of 11 by the probability of winning: 11/(1/368)3 = 548,196,352. Assuming each player bet the $3 required to win the jackpot, then a total of $1,644,589,056 was bet.

The portion of money returned to players in form of jackpots is thus $167,367,727/$1,644,589,056 = 10.18%. From the Nevada Gaming reports, we know a total of 88.61% is returned to players. That means that the portion returned to players in non-jackpots is 88.61% - 10.18% = 78.44% (The 0.01% apparent difference is due to rounding).

If there were no small wins, and no progressive contribution, then the return of the game would be $10 million/(3×(1/368)3) = 6.69%. As already shown, the total return from jackpots is 10.18%, leaving 3.49% coming from the jackpot meter. Here is a summary of where each $1 bet on Megabucks goes:

Megabucks Breakdown

ItemCents
Fixed wins78.44¢
Meter reset6.69¢
Progressive contribution3.49¢
Profit11.39¢
Total100.00¢

The average point at which the jackpot will hit is 10 million + [$3 × 0.0349 / (1/368)3] = $15,215,248. In 2006, when the jackpot was almost $16 million, IGT, Megabuck's creator, purchased ads in the local media stating that the jackpot was 'overdue' to hit. I'm quoted in a Las Vegas Sun article about it, titled 'Pennies ready to pop'. This would seem to indicate my $15.2 million figure is not far off.

If j is the jackpot at which the game becomes a fair bet, with a 100% return, then we can solve for j as follows:

1 = 0.7844 + j × (1/368)3/3
j × (1/368)3/3 = 1 - 0.7844
j = 3 × (1 - 0.7844) / (1/368)3
j = $32,238,319.

The probability of any given jackpot growing this big is 1.41%. At the current rate of play, a jackpot should get this big once every 29 years, on average.

At any given time the return can be estimated as 78.44% + 0.6689%×m, where m is the number in millions of the current jackpot. For example, at a jackpot of $15 million, the return would be 78.44% + 0.006689×15 = 88.47%.

Everything in this page should be taken as a ballpark estimate. Various factors could cause it to be off, including players not betting the full $3 and the fact that while 11 jackpots were hit in the study period, the expected number could be higher or lower.

It also bears repeating that the above does not factor in the annuity or taxes. Let's look at what happens if we do consider those factors. For the time value of money, let's use the return on long-term Treasury Bills. Megabucks jackpots are paid in a 25-year annuity. At the time of this writing a 20-year T-Bill paid 4.58% interest, and a 30-year one paid 4.74%. Let's split the difference at 4.66%. Using some actuarial math I won't get into, the value of the annuity is worth 61.07% of face value, based on that interest rate, and 25 annual installments, at the beginning of each year.

For taxes, let's assume close to the expected jackpot of $15 million. Under 2010 income tax rates, assuming the winner is filing jointly, and all other income exactly equals deductions, the taxes due will be 30.05% for 2010. Assuming no change in the tax law, that will drop over time, because the tax brackets will be adjusted upward, but the winning payments won't be. I tend to think the recent passage of health care will increase tax rates, especially on large incomes. Let's just assume those factors cancel each other out, to keep it simple.

So to keep things in round numbers, the winner will keep 61% after the annuity, and 70% of that after taxes. So the jackpot winner will see about 61% × 70% = 42.7% of his winnings in current dollars. Factoring the annuity and taxes, the breakeven point becomes $75.5 million. The probability of any given jackpot growing that big is about 1 in 283,000, and will happen once every 114,000 years. Again, I'm making lots of assumptions, so these estimates should be considered very rough.

After publishing this article, a reader quoted a page at slot-machine-resource.com, which states that after the first installment is made, the player is given the option to get 60% of the rest immediately, or stick with the installment plan. Tax implications aside, which favor the annuity, the interest rate at which the two options are equal is 4.581%.

External Links

  • Megabucks Closes in on Record Jackpot from the Las Vegas Sun, Dec. 24, 1999.
  • Nevada Gaming Control Board
  • Slots Payout percentage, from Cassaon Casino.
  • History of Megabucks Jackpots, from a2zlasvegas.com.
  • Pennies Ready to Pop, from the Aug. 9, 2006 Las Vegas Sun.
  • Megabucks, from slot-machine-resource.com.

Written by: Michael Shackleford

Megabucks is a popular slot machine offered by IGT featuring one of the highest progressive jackpots among all slot games. First introduced to gamblers in 1994, Megabucks is now available in dozens of casinos in the United States. The highest concentration of Megabucks machines can be found in Las Vegas and Reno.

The Megabucks slot machine has become an enticing game for casino goers, and it has been drawing in wandering slots players for over a decade with its most distinct feature; a massive progressive jackpot which has been known to reach over $30,000,000.

It goes without saying that this game probably has one of the largest progressive jackpots that you’ll ever come across inside of a casino, and it makes the Wheel of Fortune progressive look like chump-change.

Megabucks Casino Tours

Megabucks Machine Variations

The most common Megabucks game features a simple 3-reel machine with 1 payline. Over the course of its lifespan, IGT has had plenty of time to come up with new variations of Megabucks and they definitely did not disappoint.

Today there is a total of 19 different Megabucks slot games which feature either 3-reels or 5-reels. IGT has combined the Megabucks with other company staples like Wolf Run, Double Diamond and 3x4x5x times pay. A complete list of all Megabucks slot game varieties can be found below.

– Megabucks Crystal Sevens
– Megabucks Red Hot Re-Spin
– Megabucks Double Diamond Deluxe
– Megabucks Triple Double Stars
– Megabucks Double 3x4x5x Times Pay
– Megabucks Pink Ice
– Megabucks Wild Sapphires
– Megabucks Mega Volt Respin
– Megabucks Fire Sapphires
– Megabucks Wolf Run
– Megabucks Hot Bells
– Megabucks Triple Ruby Riches
– Megabucks Double Diamond
– Megabucks Free Spins
– Megabucks Red, White & Blue
– Megabucks Double Gold
– Megabucks 2x3x4x5x Gold
– Megabucks Megablast
– Megabucks Platinum Pays

Where to Play Megabucks

If you like Megabucks, you might be disappointed, as it’s only offered in Nevada and California. It can be played at most casinos in Las Vegas, Reno and Lake Tahoe as well as a few select Native American casinos in California. If you want to play in California, you’ll have to visit Red Hawk Casino, Thunder Valley Casino Resort or Gold Country Casino.

Megabucks casino tours

Unfortunately, there are no machines in Atlantic City at this time.

When you are at a casino with Megabucks, you’ll find that they’re often located in high-traffic areas, most likely because of their flashy progressive sign displaying the massive jackpot.

Megabucks Progressive

Since Megabucks was introduced in the 1990’s, just over 30 different people have experienced a life changing win while playing. To win the progressive jackpot, you need to get the Megabucks icon on each reel. Every time someone hits the progressive, the jackpot automatically resets back to $10,000,000 (in Nevada) or $3,000,000 (in California).

The money used to bankroll the progressive jackpot is collected by IGT on a state-by-state basis. For example, there are separate progressive jackpots for Nevada and California. As you might imagine, the California jackpot is always much lower than the one in Nevada.

Igt Megabucks Casino

The biggest win ever recorded on a Megabucks progressive machine happened on January 26th, 2000 at a little-known Nevada casino called Desert Inn. The player in question won a jaw-dropping $34,955,490.

According to Wizard of Odds, the probability of winning a Megabucks progressive is 1 in 49,836,032. If you are lucky enough to win a Megabucks jackpot, however, don’t expect to walk out of the casino with tens of millions of dollars in the bank. All progressive wins for Megabucks are issued to the player by IGT in 25 installments, which are paid out once per year.

Taking this into account, the lowest amount you could win from hitting a Megabucks progressive (in Nevada) would equate to about $400,000 per year ($10,000,000 / 25 payments).

Casino Megabucks

Odds and RTP

If you’re interested in playing slots with high RTP percentages, you’ll be disappointed to learn that Megabucks might be one of the worst machines you can play. Though the game is wildly popular in Las Vegas, it has a house edge of roughly 11.39% which means that the average RTP is only 88.61%. Compare that to some other popular slot games that boast 98% or 99% RTP and you’ll probably think twice before pumping money into a Megabucks machine.

Casino Megabucks Payout

Needless to say, the lure of winning a life-changing jackpot of $10,000,000+ – regardless of the odds – keeps players coming back time and time again.

Megabucks Casino Las Vegas

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